Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.253490 0.292868 0.336150 0.387228 0.445837 0.510963 0.588807
2024-10-06 0.202142 0.255809 0.320114 0.402740 0.506004 0.630723 0.792741
2024-10-13 0.157593 0.216827 0.293635 0.400292 0.544343 0.731932 0.994610
2024-10-20 0.128993 0.191757 0.279298 0.409856 0.599175 0.863246 1.259128
2024-10-27 0.102181 0.163330 0.254635 0.400181 0.625630 0.960728 1.495723
2024-11-03 0.087428 0.149427 0.247999 0.415034 0.689871 1.122737 1.854526
2024-11-10 0.075991 0.138261 0.243222 0.431477 0.759037 1.303270 2.273110
2024-11-17 0.064148 0.123846 0.230194 0.431446 0.800536 1.445316 2.652443
2024-11-24 0.054364 0.111013 0.217341 0.428975 0.836762 1.583398 3.047165
2024-12-01 0.046670 0.100503 0.206654 0.428241 0.875506 1.731300 3.483047
2024-12-08 0.040669 0.092109 0.198395 0.430475 0.919891 1.895930 3.976393
2024-12-15 0.036376 0.086413 0.194463 0.440626 0.981561 2.103087 4.586096
2024-12-22 0.031743 0.079122 0.186075 0.440338 1.022595 2.277575 5.163193
2024-12-29 0.028632 0.074720 0.183251 0.451934 1.091764 2.522464 5.931928
2025-01-05 0.024820 0.067791 0.173310 0.445217 1.118216 2.678542 6.530014
2025-01-12 0.022373 0.063812 0.169695 0.453094 1.180607 2.925885 7.378969
2025-01-19 0.019273 0.057406 0.158794 0.440631 1.190911 3.052911 7.962571
2025-01-26 0.017811 0.055234 0.158469 0.455692 1.273963 3.369271 9.064031
2025-02-02 0.016577 0.053454 0.158870 0.472824 1.365586 3.721475 10.313422
2025-02-09 0.014845 0.049783 0.153292 0.472198 1.408858 3.955947 11.292522
2025-02-16 0.013255 0.046193 0.147251 0.469103 1.444731 4.176547 12.270299
2025-02-23 0.011922 0.043132 0.142200 0.468034 1.486407 4.419747 13.350619
2025-03-02 0.010833 0.040644 0.138444 0.470289 1.538570 4.700850 14.585002